Cork City 2-1 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 30% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.27
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
15%
5.99
X/2
12%
5.28
X/X
11%
4.29
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
19%
3.52
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.05/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.05
-4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
250 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
10.8 Crosses 18.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bohemians
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.80 xG 1.02
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
178 Passes 342
60% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.02.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City HAZ
03.11.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 4-0 HT 2-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
05.06.2023 Cork City Cork City 2-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
01.05.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 5-0 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
17.02.2023 Cork City Cork City 1-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
09.10.2020 Bohemians Bohemians 3-0 HT 2-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
2-1
AWAY Bohemians
0.82 xG 1.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
192 Passes 278
62% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 43
16 Crosses 38
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City nicked a narrow win over Bohemians 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Cork City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cork City had 43% of the ball to Bohemians's 57%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.82 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cork City and 2.67 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Bohemians?

Cork City 2-1 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cork City 36%, draw 26%, Bohemians 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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