Shelbourne 1-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.41
Over 2.5
44%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
6.21
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.43
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
12%
15.15
X/1
12%
5.41
X/2
12%
5.19
X/X
14%
3.31
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
8%
4.16
2/X
4%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.0pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
67%
-11.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
33%
+11.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.04/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.20
+20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
13.8 Crosses 21.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.92 xG 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
286 Passes 431
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
24.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
22.04.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
23.02.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 2-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
29.09.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
11.08.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
1-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.18 xG 0.54
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
387 Passes 280
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne and Shamrock Rovers shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Shelbourne had 57% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 43%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.18 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shelbourne and 0.83 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?

Shelbourne 1-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 39%, draw 30%, Shamrock Rovers 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shelbourne), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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