St Patricks 4-3 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.77
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.35
X/1
13%
3.83
X/2
5%
12.95
X/X
11%
6.12
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
11%
11.0
2/X
5%
19.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-6.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.0pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.63/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.69
+10% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
24.1 Crosses 13.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.33 xG 0.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 Passes 258
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
01.11.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
04.08.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-2 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
06.05.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
01.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 2-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
23.10.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
04.08.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-2 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
4-3
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.27 xG 2.11
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
359 Passes 204
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks edged past Sligo Rovers 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St Patricks had 60% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 40%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 1.27 to 2.11 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sligo Rovers.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St Patricks and 0.50 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers?

St Patricks 4-3 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 58%, draw 21%, Sligo Rovers 21%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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