Derry City vs Waterford FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Waterford FC — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Waterford FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 7-2 Waterford FC — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City ran out comfortable winners over Waterford FC 7-2. Half-time: 4-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Derry City had 67% of the ball to Waterford FC's 33%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.25 to 0.84.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Derry City and 0.67 for Waterford FC.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Waterford FC?
Derry City 7-2 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Waterford FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Derry City 52%, draw 24%, Waterford FC 24%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.