Waterford FC vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Waterford FC v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Waterford FC vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Derry City
İRL
Waterford FC 2-1 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Waterford FC squeezed past Derry City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Waterford FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Waterford FC had 41% of the ball to Derry City's 59%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.25 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Waterford FC and 2.00 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Derry City?
Waterford FC 2-1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 31%, draw 31%, Derry City 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.