Bohemians 2-1 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.52
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
10%
14.4
X/1
10%
5.98
X/2
18%
5.09
X/X
10%
4.2
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.55
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
0.97/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.00
-12% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
23.7 Crosses 19.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St Patricks
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.01 xG 1.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
288 Passes 288
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
14.10.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-3 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
28.06.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
24.05.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 2-2 HT 1-2 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
23.02.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 0-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
12.11.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 3-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
2-1
AWAY St Patricks
1.97 xG 1.27
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
435 Passes 227
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians squeezed past St Patricks 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was St Patricks at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bohemians had 62% of the ball to St Patricks's 38%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.97 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bohemians and 1.83 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs St Patricks?

Bohemians 2-1 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 29%, draw 27%, St Patricks 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
25 Apr 2025
21:45 Waterford FC vs Derry City Analysis →
21:45 Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne Analysis →
21:45 Galway United vs Drogheda United Analysis →