St Patricks 3-0 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 36% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.28
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
19%
4.24
X/2
8%
9.2
X/X
16%
4.69
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
11%
7.54
2/X
5%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.62/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.09
+22% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +55%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 69%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
23.2 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bohemians
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 1.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
259 Passes 287
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.10.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-3 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
28.06.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
24.05.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 2-2 HT 1-2 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
23.02.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 0-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
12.11.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 3-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
20.10.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
3-0
AWAY Bohemians
1.87 xG 0.52
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
301 Passes 360
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks cruised past Bohemians 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, St Patricks had 47% of the ball to Bohemians's 53%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.87 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St Patricks and 0.83 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Bohemians?

St Patricks 3-0 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 45%, draw 30%, Bohemians 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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