Drogheda United 1-2 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.13
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.16
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
18%
6.91
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
6%
16.65
X/1
6%
7.66
X/2
20%
4.11
X/X
11%
3.81
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.71
2/X
7%
15.35
Value flag · 1/1 at 6.91 — our 18% vs market 10.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -33%
1.10/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.85
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
21.4 Crosses 21.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.55 xG 1.40
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
168 Passes 453
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
11.08.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
31.05.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
29.04.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-0 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
22.10.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 5-0 HT 3-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
07.07.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
1-2
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.55 xG 1.35
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
109 Passes 415
48% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers edged past Drogheda United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Drogheda United had 30% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 70%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 1.55 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Drogheda United and 2.17 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Drogheda United 1-2 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 32%, draw 24%, Shamrock Rovers 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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