Galway United 1-0 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.43
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.63
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1 EV+ ✓
29%
4.25
X/2
11%
7.89
X/X
12%
4.04
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
12%
6.77
2/X
6%
15.65
Value flag · X/1 at 4.25 — our 29% vs market 18.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
1.30/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.83
-30% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
23.6 Crosses 15.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.98 xG 0.82
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
192 Passes 280
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
12.07.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
12.04.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
01.03.2024 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
10.10.2023 Galway United Galway United 3-1 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İR1
11.08.2023 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Galway United Galway United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
1-0
AWAY Waterford FC
0.95 xG 0.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
203 Passes 137
59% Pass Accuracy 48%
31 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United edged past Waterford FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galway United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Galway United had 56% of the ball to Waterford FC's 44%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 0.95 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Galway United and 0.83 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Waterford FC?

Galway United 1-0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Galway United 47%, draw 24%, Waterford FC 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galway United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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