Waterford FC 1-2 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.55
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.64
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.05
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
9%
6.35
X/2
17%
4.56
X/X
14%
3.96
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
10%
3.17
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-6.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.84/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.78
+13% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 66%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
20.8 Crosses 24.3
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Galway United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.57 xG 0.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
261 Passes 172
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
15 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.07.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
12.04.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
01.03.2024 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
10.10.2023 Galway United Galway United 3-1 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İR1
11.08.2023 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Galway United Galway United İR1
05.05.2023 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
1-2
AWAY Galway United
1.32 xG 1.23
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
319 Passes 233
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United squeezed past Waterford FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Galway United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waterford FC had 55% of the ball to Galway United's 45%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 1.32 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Waterford FC and 1.67 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Galway United?

Waterford FC 1-2 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waterford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 35%, draw 30%, Galway United 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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