Shamrock Rovers 0-3 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.05
X/1
18%
3.79
X/2
16%
9.09
X/X
6%
5.21
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
6%
7.26
2/X
12%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -22%
1.59/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.33
+0% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 67%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
24.6 Crosses 13.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St Patricks
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.66 xG 0.76
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
406 Passes 222
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
10.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
05.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
09.02.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-1 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRSK
27.10.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
15.05.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
0-3
AWAY St Patricks
0.66 xG 1.69
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
464 Passes 249
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks ran out comfortable winners over Shamrock Rovers 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 62% of the ball to St Patricks's 38%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.66 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.50 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks?

Shamrock Rovers 0-3 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 46%, draw 27%, St Patricks 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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