Dundalk 0-2 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 32% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.4
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
10%
6.16
X/2
9%
4.77
X/X
12%
4.9
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
24%
3.09
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -24%
1.20/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.93
+28% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.1 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bohemians
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 1.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
203 Passes 290
63% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 1-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
26.04.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
15.04.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
27.10.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
07.07.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 3-2 HT 1-2 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
19.05.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 2-2 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
0-2
AWAY Bohemians
1.82 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
220 Passes 266
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians got the better of Dundalk 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bohemians as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dundalk had 48% of the ball to Bohemians's 52%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 1.82 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dundalk and 1.17 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Bohemians?

Dundalk 0-2 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 29%, draw 30%, Bohemians 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
27 Sep 2024
21:45 Drogheda United vs Derry City Analysis →
21:45 Waterford FC vs Galway United Analysis →
21:45 Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →
22:00 Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks Analysis →