Fylkir 1-2 IR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 4 Jul 2025

Fylkir
1-2 HT 0-0
IR Reykjavik
📅04/07/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2025

Fylkir vs IR Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fylkir v IR Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 40%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.74/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.45
-55% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Fylkir vs IR Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
1W-0D-1L
AWAY IR Reykjavik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 0-1 HT 0-1 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZLK
22.01.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 3-1 HT 1-0 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZLRT
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs IR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik edged past Fylkir 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fylkir at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fylkir and 1.00 for IR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs IR Reykjavik?

Fylkir 1-2 IR Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs IR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 43%, draw 25%, IR Reykjavik 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fylkir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fylkir) ✓ BTTS Yes
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