Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 4 Jul 2025

📅04/07/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.8pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
2.27/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.85
+22% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Fjölnir
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 8
12 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.07.2024 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
10.05.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
09.09.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-2 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
06.07.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-1 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
28.02.2021 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-4 HT 1-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
17.04.2019 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-4 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
0-1
AWAY Fjölnir
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fjölnir squeezed past Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Leiknir Reykjavik at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Leiknir Reykjavik had 49% of the ball to Fjölnir's 51%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 2.67 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fjölnir?

Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1 Fjölnir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 48%, draw 23%, Fjölnir 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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