Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.7pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.72/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.79
-1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Fjölnir
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
09.09.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-2 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
06.07.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-1 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
28.02.2021 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-4 HT 1-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
17.04.2019 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-4 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZK
13.09.2015 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-3 HT 2-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fjölnir squeezed past Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Fjölnir made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 3.00 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fjölnir?

Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1 Fjölnir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 39%, draw 22%, Fjölnir 39%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
11 Jul 2024
21:00 Throttur Reykjavik vs İB Vestmannaeyjar Analysis →
22:15 Keflavik vs Grotta Analysis →