Keflavik 2-1 Grotta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 11 Jul 2024

📅11/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
55%
+3.0pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.5pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+4.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Grotta EU Bookmakers 27%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.29/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.90
-6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Grotta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.05.2024 Grotta Grotta 1-0 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
16.02.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 3-1 HT 1-1 Grotta Grotta İZLK
13.02.2021 Grotta Grotta 3-3 HT 3-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Grotta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik squeezed past Grotta 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Keflavik and 1.67 for Grotta.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Grotta?

Keflavik 2-1 Grotta in the Iceland - 1st Division on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Grotta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 58%, draw 19%, Grotta 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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