Danimarka (K) 0-1 İsveç (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship, 4 Jul 2025

📅04/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.14
2-3 Goals
47%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.9
6+ Goals
6%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 27% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
7.65
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
4%
15.4
X/1
13%
9.37
X/2
10%
4.36
X/X
13%
4.64
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.34
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
21%
+11.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-11.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.4pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danimarka (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY İsveç (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -56%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 31.0
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danimarka (K)
0W-1D-4L
AWAY İsveç (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
0.78 xG 1.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
331 Passes 327
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.06.2025 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 6-1 HT 4-1 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) AVKUL
21.02.2025 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) AVKUL
04.09.2018 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) KDK
27.10.2015 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) ABK
08.04.2015 İsveç (K) İsveç (K) 3-3 HT 1-0 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danimarka (K)
0-1
AWAY İsveç (K)
0.44 xG 2.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
193 Passes 284
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Danimarka (K) vs İsveç (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İsveç (K) squeezed past Danimarka (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had İsveç (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Danimarka (K) had 42% of the ball to İsveç (K)'s 58%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.44 to 2.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İsveç (K)'s control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, İsveç (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Danimarka (K) and 2.60 for İsveç (K).

What was the final score of Danimarka (K) vs İsveç (K)?

Danimarka (K) 0-1 İsveç (K) in the European Women's Championship on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danimarka (K) vs İsveç (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an İsveç (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Danimarka (K) 32%, draw 25%, İsveç (K) 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İsveç (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İsveç (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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