İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-0 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.7pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.61/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.65
-6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
16.7 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Valur
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.22 xG 2.05
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
257 Passes 422
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2026 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 1-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
17.08.2025 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 4-1 HT 2-0 Valur Valur İZL
19.06.2025 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 0-1 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZK
24.05.2025 Valur Valur 3-0 HT 3-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
10.02.2024 Valur Valur 7-1 HT 3-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZLK
24.06.2023 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 0-3 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar
1-0
AWAY Valur
1.40 xG 0.42
15 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
262 Passes 433
13 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İB Vestmannaeyjar squeezed past Valur 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Valur at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.40 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İB Vestmannaeyjar and 2.83 for Valur.

What was the final score of İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur?

İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-0 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split İB Vestmannaeyjar 33%, draw 24%, Valur 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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