Nueva Chicago 2-0 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.3pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
0.87/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.21
-30% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
15.02.2026 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-1 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
16.09.2023 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
06.05.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-2 HT 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
28.06.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-2 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago got the better of Club Atletico Guemes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nueva Chicago as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Guemes led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nueva Chicago and 1.25 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Nueva Chicago 2-0 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 54%, draw 23%, Club Atletico Guemes 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nueva Chicago), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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