Defensores De Belgrano 2-1 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.66
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
34%
Draw
34%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
0.66/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.92
-37% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
296 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Corners 4
14.02.2026 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
05.08.2025 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
30.03.2025 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
07.07.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
18.02.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-4 HT 0-2 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
04.09.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 3-2 HT 1-2 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano edged past Deportivo Moron 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 34% / 32% — and on the day Defensores De Belgrano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.83 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Moron?

Defensores De Belgrano 2-1 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 34%, draw 34%, Deportivo Moron 32%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
4 Jul 2026
21:00 Colegiales vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis →
21:30 Nueva Chicago vs Club Atletico Guemes Analysis →
21:30 Almirante Brown vs Los Andes Analysis →
21:30 Temperley vs Tristan Suarez Analysis →
21:30 Almagro vs Atletico Rafaela Analysis →
22:00 Ciudad de Bolívar vs Godoy Cruz Analysis →