Arjantin 3-2 Yeşil Burun Adaları — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.16
Draw
14%
6.26
Away
7%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.75
No
52%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.27
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
34.0
X/1
29%
3.53
X/2
3%
34.0
X/X
5%
9.23
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
2%
34.0
2/X
3%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
82%
-2.2pp
14%
Draw
13%
+0.9pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+1.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
32%
+15.4pp
52%
BTTS No
68%
-15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeşil Burun Adaları EU Bookmakers 8%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
2.44/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.21
-34% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +150%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
485 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
8.3 Crosses 5.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin
3-2
AWAY Yeşil Burun Adaları
2.26 xG 0.47
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
779 Passes 409
92% Pass Accuracy 86%
52 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arjantin vs Yeşil Burun Adaları
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin nicked a narrow win over Yeşil Burun Adaları 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arjantin as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Arjantin had 64% of the ball to Yeşil Burun Adaları's 36%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 2.26 to 0.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arjantin's control.

What was the final score of Arjantin vs Yeşil Burun Adaları?

Arjantin 3-2 Yeşil Burun Adaları in the World Cup on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin vs Yeşil Burun Adaları?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Arjantin 79%, draw 14%, Yeşil Burun Adaları 7%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arjantin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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