Kanada 0-3 Fas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 4 Jul 2026

Kanada
0-3 HT 0-0
Fas
📅04/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.62
Over 2.5
52%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
4.44
6+ Goals
9%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.86
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
7%
15.6
X/1
12%
9.15
X/2
12%
4.28
X/X
10%
4.02
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.42
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.85
Value flag · 2/X at 13.85 — our 12% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Fas EU Bookmakers 56%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.35/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.35
-7% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
19.0 Crosses 8.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.35 xG 0.53
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
453 Passes 295
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 0
01.12.2022 Kanada Kanada 1-2 HT 1-2 Fas Fas DK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada
0-3
AWAY Fas
0.84 xG 0.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
272 Passes 388
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kanada vs Fas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas cruised past Kanada 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kanada had 45% of the ball to Fas's 55%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.84 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Kanada vs Fas?

Kanada 0-3 Fas in the World Cup on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada vs Fas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kanada 29%, draw 30%, Fas 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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