Kolombiya vs Gana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kolombiya v Gana — Team-Based Signals
Kolombiya 1-0 Gana — Actual Match Statistics
Kolombiya nicked a narrow win over Gana 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Kolombiya as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Kolombiya had 61% of the ball to Gana's 39%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.04 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kolombiya's control.
What was the final score of Kolombiya vs Gana?
Kolombiya 1-0 Gana in the World Cup on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kolombiya vs Gana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kolombiya win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya 63%, draw 24%, Gana 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolombiya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.