Libertad vs Leones del Norte Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Leones del Norte — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Leones del Norte Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Libertad 1-3 Leones del Norte — Actual Match Statistics
Leones del Norte saw off Libertad 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Libertad had 37% of the ball to Leones del Norte's 63%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.35 to 2.87.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Leones del Norte?
Libertad 1-3 Leones del Norte in the Ecuador - Premier on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Leones del Norte?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Libertad 42%, draw 29%, Leones del Norte 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5 went the other way.