Independiente Del Valle 4-0 Manta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.22
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
2%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
78%
+0.3pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.4pp
7%
Away Win
7%
+0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Manta EU Bookmakers 9%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +20%
1.86/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.68
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +16%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
443 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 74%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
23.9 Crosses 11.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Manta
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.83 xG 0.68
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
419 Passes 184
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 7
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2026 Manta Manta 0-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
10.08.2025 Manta Manta 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
20.04.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 2-0 Manta Manta EKV1
19.10.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
03.05.2021 Manta Manta 2-1 HT 2-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
4-0
AWAY Manta
4.28 xG 0.07
67% Ball Possession 33%
26 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
391 Passes 205
38 Box Touches 6
32 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Manta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle ran out comfortable winners over Manta 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 67% of the ball to Manta's 33%, shots finished 26-5, expected goals 4.28 to 0.07.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.60 for Manta.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Manta?

Independiente Del Valle 4-0 Manta in the Ecuador - Premier on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Manta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 78%, draw 16%, Manta 7%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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