Nantong Zhiyun 1-1 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.49
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.02
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
12%
6.27
X/2
16%
4.56
X/X
17%
3.92
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.22
2/X
5%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 45%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.79/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.10/0.73
-58% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.2 Crosses 12.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.23 xG 0.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
312 Passes 239
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
21.07.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİNSL
26.04.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
1-1
AWAY Henan Jianye
0.99 xG 0.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
161 Passes 255
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantong Zhiyun and Henan Jianye couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 42% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 58%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 0.99 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nantong Zhiyun had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nantong Zhiyun and 0.67 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Henan Jianye?

Nantong Zhiyun 1-1 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 33%, draw 30%, Henan Jianye 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Henan Jianye) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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