Lugano II 0-3 Kriens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+5.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kriens EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.66/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.49
-4% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kriens
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Kriens Kriens 0-1 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
21.10.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 1-2 HT 1-2 Kriens Kriens İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
0-3
AWAY Kriens
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Kriens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kriens swept aside Lugano II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Lugano II had 48% of the ball to Kriens's 52%, shots finished 10-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lugano II and 1.00 for Kriens.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Kriens?

Lugano II 0-3 Kriens in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Kriens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 44%, draw 21%, Kriens 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lugano II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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