Luzern II 0-3 Bavois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bavois EU Bookmakers 30%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.73/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.74
-1% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bavois
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 13
9 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.04.2024 Bavois 5-2 HT 2-2 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
14.10.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 4-3 HT 2-0 Bavois İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Luzern II vs Bavois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bavois swept aside Luzern II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Bavois found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Luzern II and 4.00 for Bavois.

What was the final score of Luzern II vs Bavois?

Luzern II 0-3 Bavois in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern II vs Bavois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Luzern II 39%, draw 34%, Bavois 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Luzern II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luzern II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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