Energie Cottbus 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
49%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.5
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
7%
6.38
X/2
20%
4.84
X/X
10%
4.78
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
21%
3.06
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
49%
Away Win
42%
+6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 46%
-18% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
0.87/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.29
-32% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
236 Passes 251
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
04.04.2015 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 HT 2-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
28.09.2014 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-1 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
23.03.2014 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
27.09.2013 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 4-2 HT 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
22.01.2011 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 2-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
29.08.2010 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 HT 0-2 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
1-2
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld nicked a narrow win over Energie Cottbus 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 37% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 63%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Energie Cottbus had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.50 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Energie Cottbus 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 28%, draw 24%, Arminia Bielefeld 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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