Viktoria Köln 1-2 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
7.3
1/2
8%
21.85
1/X
5%
15.75
X/1
7%
9.78
X/2
11%
3.95
X/X
13%
5.68
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.1
2/X
5%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-8.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 60%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.51/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.97
+40% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses 10.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-2 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
10.11.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-5 HT 0-3 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
18.02.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
13.08.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-1 HT 2-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
08.05.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-0 HT 2-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
19.12.2020 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-4 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
1-2
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Dynamo Dresden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden edged past Viktoria Köln 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dynamo Dresden as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 44% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 56%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Viktoria Köln and 2.17 for Dynamo Dresden.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Dynamo Dresden?

Viktoria Köln 1-2 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Dynamo Dresden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 29%, draw 24%, Dynamo Dresden 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Dresden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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