Ingolstadt 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.63
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
13%
4.71
X/2
9%
7.56
X/X
15%
5.17
2/1
12%
22.7
2/2
11%
5.13
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.29/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.81
+0% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
16.5 Crosses 9.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
02.12.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
15.03.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-2 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
10.09.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
20.03.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-0 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
14.11.2020 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 4-1 HT 2-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
2-1
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt squeezed past Waldhof Mannheim 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ingolstadt as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 47% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 53%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.50 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Ingolstadt 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 42%, draw 29%, Waldhof Mannheim 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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