Boca Juniors 1-1 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.19
6+ Goals
11%
20.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.75
X/1
14%
3.5
X/2
10%
11.85
X/X
15%
4.8
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
8%
10.5
2/X
5%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.60/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.39
+2% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
22.6 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Barracas Central
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.04 xG 0.52
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
420 Passes 198
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-2 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJK
01.04.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-3 HT 0-3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
20.06.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-3 HT 1-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
01.05.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
1-1
AWAY Barracas Central
1.74 xG 0.68
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
392 Passes 242
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 13
38 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors and Barracas Central couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Boca Juniors at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 60% of the ball to Barracas Central's 40%, shots finished 24-16, expected goals 1.74 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Boca Juniors and 0.50 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Barracas Central?

Boca Juniors 1-1 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 49%, draw 29%, Barracas Central 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boca Juniors), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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