Independiente 0-0 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
14%
6.06
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-11.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -2%
1.38/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.18
-8% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +37%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
21.8 Crosses 12.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
1W-4D-1L
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.20 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.04.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
04.06.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
06.12.2021 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
04.11.2019 Independiente Independiente 2-1 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
02.02.2019 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
05.04.2018 Independiente Independiente 0-1 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
0-0
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.46 xG 0.26
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
134 Passes 353
61% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 12
8 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente and San Lorenzo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Independiente had 33% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 67%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.46 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Independiente and 0.67 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

Independiente 0-0 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Independiente 40%, draw 31%, San Lorenzo 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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