Union Santa Fe 0-0 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

Union Santa Fe
0-0 HT 0-0
River Plate
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Union Santa Fe vs River Plate Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.21
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.46
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
6.56
X/2
12%
4.4
X/X
17%
3.73
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.12
2/X
7%
14.4
Value flag · X/1 at 6.56 — our 18% vs market 11.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v River Plate — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -25%
1.04/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.10
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -10%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
225 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
24.0 Crosses 19.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Union Santa Fe vs River Plate Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
2W-0D-4L
AWAY River Plate
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.03 xG 1.59
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
183 Passes 492
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.04.2023 River Plate River Plate 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
20.06.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-5 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
13.02.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
26.07.2021 River Plate River Plate 4-0 HT 2-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
10.02.2020 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-2 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
24.01.2019 River Plate River Plate 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ

Union Santa Fe 0-0 River Plate — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
0-0
AWAY River Plate
0.64 xG 1.09
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
157 Passes 370
61% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe and River Plate played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 36% of the ball to River Plate's 64%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.64 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Santa Fe and 2.17 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs River Plate?

Union Santa Fe 0-0 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 36%, draw 29%, River Plate 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Santa Fe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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