Guabira 4-2 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +10%
1.77/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.03
+7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +114%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 68%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
23.1 Crosses 15.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.98 xG 0.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
287 Passes 257
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Guabira Guabira 3-1 HT 1-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
21.02.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
01.12.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
05.06.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
12.10.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
4-2
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.22 xG 0.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
242 Passes 168
69% Pass Accuracy 60%
16 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira got the better of Universitario de Vinto 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guabira as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Guabira had 56% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 44%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.22 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guabira had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guabira and 0.60 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Universitario de Vinto?

Guabira 4-2 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Guabira 49%, draw 26%, Universitario de Vinto 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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