Osijek vs Sibenik Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Osijek v Sibenik — Team-Based Signals
Osijek vs Sibenik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-1
Osijek
HIR
0-0
HT 0-0
Sibenik
HIR
0-2
HT 0-2
Osijek
HIR
1-1
HT 1-0
Sibenik
HIR
0-3
HT 0-0
Osijek
HIR
3-1
HT 3-1
Sibenik
HIR
Osijek 1-2 Sibenik — Actual Match Statistics
Sibenik edged past Osijek 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Osijek at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Osijek had 77% of the ball to Sibenik's 23%, shots finished 31-6, expected goals 1.87 to 0.87 — the balance of chances actually favoured Osijek.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Osijek and 0.50 for Sibenik.
What was the final score of Osijek vs Sibenik?
Osijek 1-2 Sibenik in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Osijek vs Sibenik?
Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Osijek 53%, draw 25%, Sibenik 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.