Rijeka 4-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒19:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
62%
-6.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.59/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.52
+18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.0 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 0.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
287 Passes 291
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 HT 2-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
03.04.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
17.02.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
03.11.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
20.08.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
27.04.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
4-0
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
2.42 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
238 Passes 261
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
40 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka cruised past Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rijeka had 47% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 53%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.42 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rijeka and 0.83 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Rijeka 4-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 56%, draw 22%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ BTTS No
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