Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hajduk Split v Slaven Belupo — Team-Based Signals
Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Hajduk Split
HIR
3-0
HT 0-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
0-1
HT 0-1
Hajduk Split
HIR
0-1
HT 0-0
Hajduk Split
HIRK
Hajduk Split 2-1 Slaven Belupo — Actual Match Statistics
Hajduk Split squeezed past Slaven Belupo 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hajduk Split had 59% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 41%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.67 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hajduk Split's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.00 for Slaven Belupo.
What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo?
Hajduk Split 2-1 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 61%, draw 22%, Slaven Belupo 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.