PSV Eindhoven 4-4 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Super Cup, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
15%
4.42
X/2
6%
8.53
X/X
20%
5.04
2/1
13%
23.15
2/2
16%
6.09
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-10.6pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 28%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
17.0 Crosses 10.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Feyenoord
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.75
50% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
340 Passes 339
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-2 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
24.01.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-0 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK
03.12.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-2 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
04.08.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HSK
05.02.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-2 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
18.09.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-3 HT 2-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
4-4
AWAY Feyenoord
2.90 xG 3.89
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 2
425 Passes 202
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 65% of the ball to Feyenoord's 35%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.90 to 3.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.50 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?

PSV Eindhoven 4-4 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Super Cup on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 39%, draw 32%, Feyenoord 29%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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