La Equidad 1-1 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒03:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
33%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.09/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.92
-16% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
16.9 Crosses 14.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 0.86
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
221 Passes 328
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-2 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
06.05.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
07.02.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
23.09.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
12.04.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 4-1 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
14.07.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
1-1
AWAY Once Caldas
0.57 xG 0.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
232 Passes 243
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 4
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad and Once Caldas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, La Equidad had 50% of the ball to Once Caldas's 50%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.57 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for La Equidad and 1.17 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Once Caldas?

La Equidad 1-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 40%, draw 30%, Once Caldas 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (La Equidad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Equidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
4 Aug 2024
01:00 Jaguares De Cordoba vs Deportivo Pasto Analysis →
23:30 Patriotas Boyaca vs America de Cali Analysis →