Patriotas Boyaca 1-1 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.6pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.82/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.95
-28% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
14.6 Crosses 13.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY America de Cali
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.67 xG 1.38
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
217 Passes 372
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
19.09.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
23.03.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 2-1 HT 1-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
21.08.2021 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
04.03.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
12.10.2020 America de Cali America de Cali 3-0 HT 2-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
1-1
AWAY America de Cali
1.21 xG 0.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
240 Passes 233
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Patriotas Boyaca vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patriotas Boyaca and America de Cali couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was America de Cali at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Patriotas Boyaca had 51% of the ball to America de Cali's 49%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.21 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 1.33 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs America de Cali?

Patriotas Boyaca 1-1 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated an America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 25%, draw 33%, America de Cali 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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