Nacional Asuncion 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.39/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.24
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
20.01.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
29.10.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
12.08.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
06.05.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
25.02.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
0-0
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion and Sportivo Ameliano played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 46% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 54%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 0.83 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Nacional Asuncion 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 37%, draw 29%, Sportivo Ameliano 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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