Legia Varşova 1-2 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.83
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
16%
4.28
X/2
8%
7.27
X/X
11%
3.86
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
14%
6.02
2/X
9%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.50/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.33
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.8 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
390 Passes 284
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-1 HT 2-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
16.09.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
19.02.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
05.08.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
18.04.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-1 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
24.10.2021 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 4-1 HT 2-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
1-2
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.10 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
429 Passes 391
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice nicked a narrow win over Legia Varşova 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 53% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 47%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.10 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.17 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Piast Gliwice?

Legia Varşova 1-2 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 44%, draw 28%, Piast Gliwice 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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