Legia Varşova vs Piast Gliwice Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Legia Varşova v Piast Gliwice — Team-Based Signals
Legia Varşova vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Legia Varşova
POL
0-1
HT 0-0
Legia Varşova
POL
2-0
HT 0-0
Piast Gliwice
POL
0-1
HT 0-1
Piast Gliwice
POL
4-1
HT 2-1
Legia Varşova
POL
0-1
HT 0-0
Legia Varşova
POL
Legia Varşova 3-1 Piast Gliwice — Actual Match Statistics
Legia Varşova beat Piast Gliwice 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Legia Varşova had 40% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 60%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.48 to 1.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Piast Gliwice.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.00 for Piast Gliwice.
What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Piast Gliwice?
Legia Varşova 3-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Piast Gliwice?
Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 45%, draw 28%, Piast Gliwice 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.