Lodzki KS 1-1 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 17 Mar 2024

Lodzki KS
1-1 HT 0-0
Rakow Czestochowa
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Lodzki KS vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
11.5
1/2
9%
24.0
1/X
7%
19.95
X/1
5%
13.65
X/2
14%
3.46
X/X
13%
5.86
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
31%
1.78
2/X
5%
19.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.8pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-12.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lodzki KS v Rakow Czestochowa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 70%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -17%
1.17/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.81
+93% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +49%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.2
11.9 Crosses 25.3
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Lodzki KS vs Rakow Czestochowa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lodzki KS
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.38 xG 0.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
285 Passes 387
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2023 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 0-2 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POLK
16.09.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 1-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL
14.07.2020 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 3-2 HT 1-2 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
07.06.2020 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-1 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL
26.10.2019 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 2-0 HT 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL

Lodzki KS 1-1 Rakow Czestochowa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lodzki KS
1-1
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
1.43 xG 3.93
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 32
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 11
224 Passes 385
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 70
13 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lodzki KS vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lodzki KS and Rakow Czestochowa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rakow Czestochowa at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lodzki KS had 40% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 60%, shots finished 10-32, expected goals 1.43 to 3.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Lodzki KS and 1.20 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Lodzki KS vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Lodzki KS 1-1 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lodzki KS vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lodzki KS 20%, draw 26%, Rakow Czestochowa 54%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ BTTS No
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