Ceara 1-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 4 Aug 2025

Ceara
1-1 HT 0-1
Flamengo
📅04/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Ceara vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.99
6+ Goals
6%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.68
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
8%
17.8
X/1
11%
9.44
X/2
15%
3.93
X/X
10%
4.03
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.32
2/X
8%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceara v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 57%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.04/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.97
+33% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
16.1 Crosses 18.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Ceara vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Flamengo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.52
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
250 Passes 461
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.09.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
14.05.2022 Ceara Ceara 2-2 HT 1-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
01.12.2021 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
22.08.2021 Ceara Ceara 1-1 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
10.01.2021 Flamengo Flamengo 0-2 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
14.09.2020 Ceara Ceara 2-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1

Ceara 1-1 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
1-1
AWAY Flamengo
0.80 xG 1.05
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
209 Passes 548
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara and Flamengo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Ceara had 31% of the ball to Flamengo's 69%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.80 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceara had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ceara and 1.00 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Flamengo?

Ceara 1-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ceara 25%, draw 26%, Flamengo 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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