Internacional 1-2 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.43
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.73
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
10%
5.02
X/2
14%
5.84
X/X
15%
3.58
2/1
15%
35.0
2/2
11%
4.7
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +10%
1.28/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.06
+5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.5 Crosses 17.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.11
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 Passes 412
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-3 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
14.06.2024 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
14.09.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
07.05.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
09.11.2022 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-1 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
21.07.2022 Internacional Internacional 3-3 HT 3-2 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-2
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.46 xG 0.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
389 Passes 361
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Paulo edged past Internacional 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Sao Paulo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Internacional had 52% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 48%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.46 to 0.45 — the balance of chances actually favoured Internacional.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Internacional and 1.17 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Sao Paulo?

Internacional 1-2 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Internacional 40%, draw 28%, Sao Paulo 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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