Vitoria vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BR1
0-3
HT 0-2
Palmeiras
BR1
3-1
HT 3-1
Palmeiras
BR1
4-2
HT 2-1
Vitoria
BR1
Vitoria 2-2 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria and Palmeiras couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vitoria had 40% of the ball to Palmeiras's 60%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.93 to 1.71.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vitoria and 2.00 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Palmeiras?
Vitoria 2-2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 32%, draw 27%, Palmeiras 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.