Novi Pazar 1-2 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.47/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.25
+2% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.9 Crosses 19.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
2W-1D-2L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.46 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
337 Passes 293
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
03.11.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-1 HT 3-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
07.05.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
10.12.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
14.08.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-4 HT 2-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
1-2
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.59 xG 2.15
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
459 Passes 212
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 21
33 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd edged past Novi Pazar 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Novi Pazar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 65% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 35%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.59 to 2.15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.20 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Novi Pazar 1-2 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 44%, draw 24%, IMT Novi Beograd 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Novi Pazar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
4 Aug 2025
20:00 Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Napredak Krusevac Analysis →