Novi Pazar 3-1 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.28/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.75
-15% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.6 Crosses 19.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
1W-0D-2L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
362 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.05.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-1 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
10.12.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
14.08.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-4 HT 2-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
3-1
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
3.58 xG 1.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 10
250 Passes 361
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar got the better of IMT Novi Beograd 3-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) promised a tight game; Novi Pazar found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 42% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 58%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 3.58 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.67 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Novi Pazar 3-1 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 40%, draw 27%, IMT Novi Beograd 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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